ManifoldTech & Science

Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030?

Current odds

Yes99%

No0.9%

Yes probability

Trade on Manifold

Related markets

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Kalshi Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?Kalshi Best AI at the end of 2026?Kalshi When will Apple release the iPhone 18?Kalshi Which company has the best AI model end of September?Polymarket Anthropic IPO by __?Polymarket