Culture Prediction Markets
Film, music, awards and entertainment. Ranked by 24-hour volume across venues.
| # | Market | Odds | 7d | 24h | Volume ↓ | 24h Vol | 24h Face | Liquidity | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? PolymarketPolitics | December 313.8% September 301.1% | — | +0.1 pts | $67.15M | $107.4K | — | $990.4K | 108d |
| 2 |  Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Polymarket | No98% Yes1.9% | — | +0.1 pts | $65.70M | $5.5K | — | $541.0K | 108d |
| 3 |  Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 PolymarketSports | Harry Kane54% Lamine Yamal24% +17 more | — | -6.0 pts | $35.73M | $404.5K | — | $8.05M | 45d |
| 4 |  Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 PolymarketPolitics | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms9.1% Yulia Navalnaya7.5% +29 more | — | +5.0 pts | $24.04M | $125.6K | — | $1.75M | 24d |
| 5 |  Highest grossing movie in 2026? PolymarketCulture | Spider-Man: Brand New Day94% Avengers: Doomsday4.5% +12 more | — | — | $17.45M | $1.7K | — | $2.49M | 106d |
| 6 | Oscar Winner: Best Picture KalshiCulture | The Odyssey53% Digger13% +39 more | — | — | $5.68M | $24.3K | $121.6K | — | 1y |
| 7 | Stranger Things: New episode this year? KalshiCulture | Yes4.0% No96% | — | -1.0 pts | $2.46M | $44 | $1.1K | — | 108d |
| 8 | Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond KalshiCulture | Aaron Pierre3.0% No97% | — | — | $2.25M | $2.8K | $14.5K | — | 3y |
| 9 | Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? PolymarketCulture | Avengers: Doomsday54% Spider-Man: Brand New Day39% +2 more | — | +4.0 pts | $2.21M | $24.8K | — | $119.3K | 108d |
| 10 |  Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 180-19963% 160-17935% +16 more | — | +31.0 pts | $1.98M | $509.8K | — | $588.7K | 11h |
| 11 | #1 searched person on Google in 2026 KalshiTech & Science | Erling Haaland22% Bad Bunny11% +14 more | — | -1.0 pts | $1.40M | $885 | $10.3K | — | 107d |
| 12 | Time's Person of the Year for 2026 KalshiCulture | Taylor Swift4.0% No96% | — | +2.0 pts | $1.25M | $2.1K | $9.4K | — | 108d |
| 13 | Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026 KalshiCulture | Drake80% Taylor Swift12% +14 more | — | +2.0 pts | $1.07M | $219 | $2.9K | — | 107d |
| 14 |  Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? PolymarketTech & Science | December 31, 202766% June 30, 202753% +1 more | — | — | $987.5K | $5.1K | — | $91.3K | 1y |
| 15 | Oscar nominees: Best Picture KalshiCulture | The Odyssey95% No5.0% | — | -3.0 pts | $918.7K | $5.5K | $11.7K | — | 1y |
| 16 |  Next James Bond actor? PolymarketCulture | Jack Lowden34% No Bond chosen22% +22 more | — | -10.7 pts | $898.8K | $40.2K | — | $207.5K | 106d |
| 17 | Avengers: Doomsday: Cast KalshiCulture | Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?91% No9.0% | — | — | $838.1K | $770 | $1.4K | — | 1y |
| 18 | Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 180-19930% 200-21924% +20 more | — | +5.0 pts | $805.0K | $277.4K | — | $285.7K | 3d |
| 19 | Top artist on Spotify in 2026? KalshiCulture | Bad Bunny87% Drake9.0% +8 more | — | — | $714.4K | $1.1K | $3.2K | — | 108d |
| 20 | Oscar Winner: Best Actor KalshiCulture | John Malkovich26% Matt Damon26% +21 more | — | +1.0 pts | $661.0K | $3.6K | $26.8K | — | 1y |
| 21 |  Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...? PolymarketPolitics | December 31, 202719% December 31, 20265.8% | — | — | $630.5K | $8.8K | — | $121.6K | 1y |
| 22 |  "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30? PolymarketCulture | 940 - 950m64% 950 - 960m32% +3 more | — | +0.5 pts | $620.4K | $11.6K | — | $72.7K | 15d |
| 23 |  SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 PolymarketTech & Science | October 3197% Super Heavy booster explodes?91% +7 more | — | +0.1 pts | $525.1K | $8.5K | — | $55.4K | 288d |
| 24 |  Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? PolymarketWorld | No73% Yes28% | — | +1.0 pts | $465.4K | $4.9K | — | $21.0K | 46d |
| 25 |  Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? PolymarketPolitics | No90% Yes10% | — | -3.0 pts | $465.0K | $5.3K | — | $11.3K | 108d |
| 26 |  Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Polymarket | No97% Yes2.8% | — | +1.3 pts | $413.6K | $3.5K | — | $8.9K | 165d |
| 27 | Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress KalshiCulture | Oscar de la Renta9.0% No91% | — | — | $377.4K | $115 | $215 | — | 107d |
| 28 |  Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? PolymarketTech & Science | December 31, 202830% December 31, 202716% +1 more | — | — | $342.8K | $5.8K | — | $94.0K | 2y |
| 29 | Who will headline Coachella 2027? KalshiCulture | Drake26% No74% | — | +1.0 pts | $342.5K | $755 | $2.0K | — | 1y |
| 30 | Who will release a new album in 2026? KalshiCulture | Taylor Swift65% No35% | — | +16.0 pts | $325.3K | $1.4K | $2.3K | — | 108d |
| 31 | Oscar nominees: Best Actor KalshiCulture | John Malkovich91% No9.0% | — | +1.0 pts | $319.1K | $1.7K | $3.7K | — | 1y |
| 32 | Lady Gaga6.0% No94% | — | — | $271.8K | $1.5K | $5.0K | — | 153d | |
| 33 | Top Song on Spotify in 2026? KalshiCulture | End of Beginning80% Babydoll16% +26 more | — | +4.0 pts | $268.0K | $999 | $1.5K | — | 107d |
| 34 | Video games released this year KalshiCulture | Final Fantasy VII Remake #31.0% No99% | — | — | $265.2K | $237 | $502 | — | 109d |
| 35 | Oscar nominees: Best Actress KalshiCulture | Renate Reinsve52% No48% | — | +13.0 pts | $238.9K | $1.2K | $2.2K | — | 1y |
| 36 |  #1 Searched Person on Google 2026? PolymarketTech & Science | Lindsay Clancy24% Erling Haaland17% +44 more | — | +3.5 pts | $214.7K | $3.4K | — | $1.84M | 107d |
| 37 | Oscar winner: Best Actress KalshiCulture | Julianne Moore63% Inde Navarrette18% +15 more | — | +2.0 pts | $209.9K | $1.6K | $3.4K | — | 1y |
| 38 | #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026? PolymarketTech & Science | The Odyssey41% Obsession30% +18 more | — | +4.5 pts | $191.4K | $2.8K | — | $583.4K | 107d |
| 39 |  Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner PolymarketCulture | The Odyssey50% Dune: Part Three16% +20 more | — | — | $181.6K | $3.8K | — | $197.9K | 180d |
| 40 | PS6 announced this year? KalshiCulture | By 20266.0% No94% | — | +1.0 pts | $170.9K | $21 | $345 | — | 108d |
| 41 | #1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? PolymarketTech & Science | Lindsay Clancy40% Bad Bunny18% +55 more | — | +0.5 pts | $167.3K | $1.8K | — | $1.45M | 107d |
| 42 | above 13,500,00087% No13% | — | +2.0 pts | $161.2K | $7.5K | $12.8K | — | 310d | |
| 43 | Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027? KalshiCulture | Widespread Panic88% No12% | — | — | $156.7K | $4.1K | $8.2K | — | 1y |
| 44 | Oscar Winner: Best Director KalshiCulture | Christopher Nolan64% Alejandro G. Iñárritu36% +15 more | — | +6.0 pts | $155.5K | $1.1K | $3.2K | — | 1y |
| 45 | Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 180-19919% 160-17918% +24 more | — | — | $154.0K | $68.3K | — | $308.3K | 7d |
| 46 | In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? ManifoldTech & Science | Yes32% No68% | — | — | $137.9K | M$20.8K | — | $209 | 1y |
| 47 |  Top Spotify Song 2026 PolymarketCulture | End of Beginning – Djo74% Babydoll – Dominic Fike13% +12 more | — | +2.1 pts | $135.9K | $1.6K | — | $21.5K | 106d |
| 48 | How many Emmys will 'DTF St. Louis ' win? KalshiCulture | Exactly 799% Exactly 85.0% +11 more | — | +17.0 pts | $129.8K | $3.7K | $10.7K | — | 107d |
| 49 | Top Song on Spotify U.S in 2026? KalshiCulture | Choosin’ Texas92% DtMF2.0% +22 more | — | -3.0 pts | $118.4K | $804 | $874 | — | 107d |
| 50 | How many Emmys will 'Widow's Bay' win? KalshiCulture | Exactly 1497% Exactly 153.0% +17 more | — | +86.0 pts | $110.4K | $4.5K | $19.7K | — | 107d |
| 51 | How many Emmys will 'Hacks' win? KalshiCulture | Exactly 299% Exactly 1093% +22 more | — | +73.0 pts | $108.6K | $1.4K | $4.5K | — | 107d |
| 52 |  GTA VI released by...? Polymarket | November 3087% October 311.4% +1 more | — | -5.0 pts | $102.1K | $2.7K | — | $38.3K | 77d |
| 53 | How many Emmys will 'The Pitt' win? KalshiCulture | Exactly 695% Exactly 1220% +23 more | — | +87.0 pts | $94.7K | $3.0K | $11.3K | — | 107d |
| 54 | Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 840-87919% 800-83917% +25 more | — | +3.0 pts | $86.6K | $16.0K | — | $110.2K | 15d |
| 55 | Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 1000+23% 920-95915% +44 more | — | -3.5 pts | $82.2K | $9.6K | — | $91.6K | 46d |
| 56 | How many Emmys will 'Pluribus' win? KalshiCulture | Exactly 699% Exactly 88.0% +16 more | — | +64.0 pts | $78.4K | $2.8K | $13.4K | — | 107d |
| 57 | Widow's Bay99% The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny23% +8 more | — | +6.0 pts | $77.8K | $6.9K | $11.9K | — | 1y | |
| 58 | 40–45M57% 45–50M37% +6 more | — | +2.4 pts | $77.3K | $33.5K | — | $16.5K | 5d | |
| 59 | Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 40-6457% <4024% +8 more | — | +6.5 pts | $77.0K | $58.6K | — | $88.2K | 1d |
| 60 |  What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? PolymarketCulture | Instadocs: The Decoy Plane99% Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 10.7% +4 more | — | +3.3 pts | $74.8K | $13.6K | — | $15.6K | 19h |
| 61 |  Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? PolymarketPolitics | September 3074% September 152.9% | — | +0.7 pts | $70.2K | $3.8K | — | $10.2K | 15d |
| 62 | #1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026? PolymarketSports | Erling Braut Haaland48% Alysa Liu17% +33 more | — | +0.5 pts | $69.2K | $2.1K | — | $848.5K | 107d |
| 63 | NL Hank Aaron Award Winner? KalshiSports | Pete Crow-Armstrong90% Fernando Tatis Jr.11% +49 more | — | +1.0 pts | $55.8K | $658 | $731 | — | 84d |
| 64 |  Who will Trump publicly praise in September? PolymarketPolitics | Volodymyr Zelenskyy88% Javier Milei72% +11 more | — | +7.5 pts | $47.7K | $1.8K | — | $1.9K | 15d |
| 65 | GTA VI Online25% No75% | — | -7.0 pts | $41.9K | $909 | $3.6K | — | 108d | |
| 66 | How many Emmys will 'Beef' win? KalshiCulture | Exactly 399% Exactly 119.0% +14 more | — | +63.0 pts | $41.7K | $1.7K | $4.0K | — | 107d |
| 67 |  "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office PolymarketCulture | <50m44% 50-55m24% +4 more | — | +4.9 pts | $38.1K | $3.4K | — | $7.6K | 5d |
| 68 | Pablo Picasso92% Jean-Michel Basquiat4.2% +2 more | — | -1.0 pts | $37.3K | $2.0K | — | $18.8K | 197d | |
| 69 | Oscar nominees: Best Animated Feature Film KalshiCulture | Forgotten Island55% No45% | — | +5.0 pts | $32.2K | $757 | $1.2K | — | 1y |
| 70 | When will Drake release a new album? KalshiCulture | Before Sep 19, 202610% No90% | — | -10.0 pts | $27.2K | $1.0K | $3.7K | — | 108d |
| 71 | September 19100% September 21100% +2 more | — | — | $25.0K | $2.3K | — | $24.8K | 6d | |
| 72 | What will be the top US Netflix show this week? PolymarketCulture | Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 198% NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams1.4% +4 more | — | +0.7 pts | $22.1K | $5.0K | — | $5.4K | 19h |
| 73 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___? PolymarketTech & Science | December 31, 202714% December 31, 20262.3% | — | -1.5 pts | $20.8K | $4.0K | — | $24.7K | 1y |
| 74 |  What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? PolymarketCulture | The Whisper Man98% Turning Point: Generation 9/111.3% +4 more | — | +0.7 pts | $18.9K | $2.1K | — | $10.8K | 19h |
| 75 | Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026 PolymarketTech & Science | Lindsay Clancy83% Bad Bunny42% +14 more | — | +26.5 pts | $16.7K | $4.3K | — | $40.4K | 107d |
| 76 | #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 18) PolymarketCulture | BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky62% Earrings - Malcolm Todd37% +5 more | — | -32.0 pts | $15.8K | $5.4K | — | $2.6K | 3d |
| 77 | Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026 PolymarketTech & Science | Erling Braut Haaland86% Alysa Liu67% +10 more | — | +4.5 pts | $14.5K | $2.0K | — | $10.5K | 107d |
| 78 | What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? PolymarketCulture | Why Did I Get Married Again?98% The Whisper Man2.3% +4 more | — | -0.1 pts | $14.2K | $2.2K | — | $8.4K | 19h |
| 79 | Stagecoach 2027: Headliner(s) KalshiCulture | Morgan Wallen3.0% No97% | — | -31.0 pts | $13.5K | $4.9K | $8.3K | — | 1y |
| 80 |  What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? PolymarketPolitics | -No Qualifying Event-97% King / Queen4.2% +13 more | — | -0.1 pts | $12.9K | $1.8K | — | $8.8K | 1d |
| 81 |  Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of September 26 PolymarketCulture | Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko92% Dandelion - Ella Langley4.2% +5 more | — | -2.6 pts | $11.1K | $2.2K | — | $4.6K | 7d |
| 82 |  Who will be evicted from Big Brother? (Week 10) PolymarketCulture | Barrett Pfeiffer62% Melody Morris47% +5 more | — | +3.0 pts | $10.2K | $1.9K | — | $4.0K | 2d |
| 83 | How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? PolymarketCulture | 18M+99% 15M+99% +5 more | — | +14.5 pts | $10.1K | $3.3K | — | $6.3K | 19h |
| 84 | What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? PolymarketCulture | Those Who Wish Me Dead99% Why Did I Get Married Again?0.9% +4 more | — | +0.1 pts | $7.9K | $1.6K | — | $5.2K | 19h |
| 85 | Elon Musk # tweets September 17 - September 19, 2026? PolymarketPolitics | 40-6450% 65-8923% +8 more | — | — | $6.2K | $7.6K | — | $30.4K | 4d |
| 86 | 33–34M66% 32–33M30% +5 more | — | — | $3.6K | $3.6K | — | $2.7K | 1d | |
| 87 |  What will Trump say during remarks in North Carolina? PolymarketPolitics | Transgender92% Hottest91% +18 more | — | — | $3.1K | $3.2K | — | $7.1K | 1d |
| 88 | #2 Searched Person on Google 2026? PolymarketTech & Science | Timothée Chalamet24% Erling Haaland23% +44 more | — | — | $2.2K | $2.2K | — | $50.0K | 107d |
| 89 | Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of September 26 PolymarketCulture | Boston - Stella Lefty94% I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift2.9% +4 more | — | +6.0 pts | $2.2K | $2.1K | — | $6.9K | 7d |
| 90 | Yes90% No10.0% | — | +4.0 pts | $2.0K | $616 | $685 | — | 138d |
