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Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
Manifold
Tech & Science
Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
Current odds
Yes
95%
No
5.0%
Yes probability
24H
1W
1M
All
86%
93%
99%
Jul 19
Jul 22
Jul 24
Trade on Manifold
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