2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

At the release of the national House popular vote data

Current odds

— · 24h (leader)

Democrats, 8 to 10%25%

Democrats, 6 to 8%23%

Democrats, 10 to 12%19%

Democrats, 4 to 6%10%

Republicans win8.4%

Democrats, 12 to 14%8.2%

Democrats, 2 to 4%5.0%

Democrats, 0 to 2%4.4%

Democrats, 14 to 16%3.1%

Democrats, 16% and above2.6%

Democrats, 8 to 10% probability

Trade on Kalshi

Related markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Polymarket Presidential Election Winner 2028Polymarket Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Polymarket 2028 Democratic presidential nomineeKalshi Fed Decision in September?Polymarket Brazil Presidential ElectionPolymarket